US Election & Presidency

(17-09-2024 22:22 )southsidestu Wrote:  Morning Consult's poll puts Harris at 6 pts 51/45, regardless of the pollster, the general trend post debate is showing a bump for Harris

Wonder what the October surprise will be ?

Probably Israel invading Lebanon or launching a major attack on Iran

Netanyahu has made no secret of wanting Stump to win the election. America getting dragged into a middle east shit show even worse and more devastating than Iraq or Afghanistan because they can't and won't reign in Israel is just the thing to lose Harris the election.

This attack on the pagers in Lebanon is a worrying development

An interesting data point from the Daily Mail / JL partners poll. That gives Harris a 1 point lead overall, but it also shows a large shift in Hispanic voters from Trump to Harris since the debate.

My hot take (probably bullshit!): Documented hispanic voters warmed to Trump’s anti-immigration message when it was only about the ‘volume’ of immigration. We’re here, we’re documented, it doesn’t help us to have more immigration. At the debate, however, the anti-immigration message took a sinister turn. It wasn’t simply about there being too many immigrants — it was about demonising all those awful immigrants who eat our cats and steal our geese.

Maybe that’s why they’re turning on him??

The US Federal Reserve has cut the base rate of interest in America by 0.5%.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/18/fed-cuts...2024-.html

I predict before the end of September there wil be a third attempt on Trump

Hopefully not, ideally he'll lose the election and that'll be the end of him trying for the top job. He was never qualified for it in the first place.
He won't go away, but hopefully his influence will start to fade, especially with a few more convictions on the cards. The GOP will need a MAGA purge.

(19-09-2024 10:05 )lovebabes56 Wrote:  I predict before the end of September there wil be a third attempt on Trump

only if he starts getting hammered in the polls,another( convenient ) attempt on his life to get him the boost he seems to crave

Ouch! A bad polling day for Harris…

NYT/Sienna college — one of the most reputable pollsters in the business — has her trailing markedly in Georgia, Arizona and North Carolina, with only marginal leads (well within the margin of error) in all the other battlegrounds.

After creeping up one-tenth of a point every few days in the polling averages, she was just about to hit the milestone 3 point lead — and then fell back to 2.6% in one day.

I am reconciled to the likelihood that neither candidate is going to pull ahead before election day, and it’s going to remain a toss-up until the last vote is counted.

If she wins the blue wall including Michigan, Pennsylvania & Wisconsin those states are irrelevant, if she loses one or two she will need them